It is likely that Tuktoyaktuk will have to relocate in the next 30 years.

Tuk Island projected shorelines. At the current annual rate of erosion, Tuk Island will be breached by the year 2050. Tuk Island provides an important barrier to erosion of the Hamlet of Tuktoyaktuk.

Tuk Island projected shorelines. At the current annual rate of erosion, Tuk Island will be breached by the year 2050. Tuk Island provides an important barrier to erosion of the Hamlet of Tuktoyaktuk.

Few communities in Canada are as exposed to extreme climate change hazards as Tuktoyaktuk, a primarily Indigenous community located on the Beaufort Sea, in the Inuvialuit Settlement Region of the Northwest Territories. Already, homes in the community are being relocated at considerable expense due to rapid coastal erosion. Projections of sea level rise, permafrost thaw and sea ice melting have been modelled by researchers, while engineers have proposed mitigation strategies to the ongoing issues of erosion. Annually there are community led efforts to try to mitigate erosion, repair roads, and re-level houses that have shifted because of the thaw. To maintain an emergency exit, the road by the water reservoir has had to be raised, while the road to the power plant is not usable for the summer due to flooding. In the mid 90s, erosion and flooding resulted in the creation of Reindeer Point and the school and RCMP offices being moved. 

At present rates of erosion, sea level rise and permafrost thaw, the entire townsite will be unviable by 2050. Currently, the island is eroding by two metres per year and the peninsula point, 10 km to the east, is eroding at three and a half metres a year, causing houses to be relocated inland. The average population growth is 1.03% annually. If this number remains consistent it is estimated that in 2050 approximately 1200 people will need to be relocated. The existing solutions to the environmental challenges in Tuktoyaktuk are short-sighted, relying on reactive action that have proven ineffective in the past rather than developing proactive solutions for the future. 

Climate Research

 

Info about major climate research projects in Tuk.

As part of the “Tuktoyaktuk Community Climate Resilience Project” the Aurora Research Institute collaborated with the Tuktoyaktuk Community Corporation to monitor and measure climate impacts. The aim of the project is to assist the Hamlet of Tuktoyaktuk in developing their capacity to using geospatial tools and services to support the collection, management, and dissemination of climate change related data.

Proposed Future Tuk Adaptation Timeline

The process of community relocation is long and steps need to be outlined appropriately as well as who is responsible for taking actions. Below is a suggested timeline for processes towards relocation including steps that have been taken to adapt the shoreline, providing time to make relocation decisions.

Tuk_Timeline.jpg
 

Pillars

Community engagement

Adaptation decisions will be driven by the community. The website will provide information to engage residents in conversations about the future of Tuk.

Future decision-makers

The youth of today will have to make important adaptation decisions in the future. Through the adaptation design process, youth will be supported to engage with current decision-makers to determine appropriate actions for the future of Tuk.

Pathways approach

Adaptation responses will be designed to be no /low regrets and build upon one another in order to manage the uncertainty of future climate change impacts.

 

Research

As needs for future research are identified by the community, training and expertise will be incorporated in order to design the most effective adaptation plan.

Knowledge sharing

The process of adaptation will be documented to share with communities facing similar climate change impacts. The website will be updated to share information discovered throughout the adaptation design process.

Feedback

Adaptation plans will reflect local knowledge and the priorities of residents. Opportunities to give feedback and share experiences will be provided throughout the design process.